Click To Go Back To The Main
Welcome! You are visitor to www.GlenStephens.com
Glen Stephens
Double
Your Money?
I have been writing
stamp "tipster" and market columns each month for 25 years, and like
to think I have pretty good "radar" as to
which way the broader market is
heading.
I almost never offer advice on areas other than
stamps, simply as it is not my primary area of expertise.
However I did make a specific prediction mid
last year that has more than doubled anyone's money that heeded it!
In my July 2005 column I tipped that readers
could do a lot worse than considering buying shares in Greg Manning
Auctions.
I noted they had already risen 18.6% in the
previous 3 months and said: "I am no stockbroker, but to see
this stock double in a year or two from today's $US12 would
not surprise me at all."
Nearly trebled
That stock has indeed more than doubled - and
took only around 6 months to so do. The shares have in fact nearly
trebled in that short time. As I type this the stock (Nasdaq
code ESCL) closed trading on February 7 at $US 34.65. Anyone who
took my written advice to buy at around $US12 a share will be rather
pleased right now I'd suspect.
As I pointed out last July - there was no
rocket science involved in predicting this if your wide vision was
good. And more importantly if you recognised prices for good stamps
have been going off the chart for the last year or so.
Greg Manning's newly named "Escala" group and
parent company Afinsa are regularly making a buck out of many of the
mega dollar price records being set all over the globe. For both
stamps and coins.
Manning's umbrella encompasses a bunch of major
auction houses across the globe.
Greg Manning
So no matter where the major collections and
rare pieces are being sold, Greg Manning's group is very likely to
be pocketing a decent chunk of the value of those collections in
buyer and seller commissions. A near perfect business model.
Most senior Australian dealers have met Greg
Manning, and he is a very professional operator. Doing research for
this piece I came across this recent Jan 24, 2006 Form 8-K SEC
salary filing, and he is quite nicely paid too - right out to 2018
it seems if he wishes!
From June this year his salary is $US550,000
p.a. rising $US50,000 a year, plus a flat $US50,000
annual bonus. The filing says: "Mr. Manning will also be
eligible to receive an annual performance bonus and a long-term
incentive award pursuant to the terms of an incentive compensation
program."
"Upon the expiration of the term of the
Manning Employment Agreement on June 30, 2008 (and upon earlier
termination in certain circumstances), Mr. Manning will serve as a
consultant to the Company through June 30, 2018, subject to earlier
termination under certain circumstances."
"During the period that Mr. Manning is
providing consulting services to the Company, he will be entitled to
receive consulting fees at an annual rate equal to 65% of the base
salary in effect immediately prior to the termination of his
employment."
$A11,000 weekly income?
65% of $US650,000 is $US422,500 a year until
2018 as a 'consultant' or around $A11,000 a week. And goodness
knows how many millions in shares he owns on top.
I am planning to float "Glen Stephens
Inc" on Nasdaq as soon as I complete typing this column!
Good for him.
The group's North American operations include
huge names like Greg Manning Auctions division, Ivy & Manning
Philatelic Auctions, Greg Manning Galleries, Greg Martin Auctions,
Spectrum Numismatics, Teletrade, Nutmeg Stamp Sales, Superior
Sports Auctions, Bowers and Merena Auctions, Kingswood Coin
Auctions, and H.R. Harmer.
In Europe, the leading stamp auction houses
affiliated with the network are Auctentia Subastas (Afinsa Auctions)
of Madrid Spain, Corinphila Auktionen of Zurich Switzerland, and the
Koehler group of auction companies of Berlin and Wiesbaden Germany.
In Asia, Escala's auctions operations are
conducted through John Bull Stamp Auctions Ltd, the oldest
philatelic auction house in Hong Kong.
Every time a record 6 or 7 figure price is
achieved for a vendor, the Manning group is getting both the buyers
AND seller's commission on these new record prices. This can be
around 25%-30% of the stamp collection or rare piece's value, so it
is clearly incredibly profitable. At no risk to the middle man.
When Heinrich Kohler Auctions in
Germany gets 6 figure sums for the 110+50 pfennig Audrey
Hepburn stamp illustrated nearby - Escala benefits as they
own Kohler 100%.
When Harmers Of New York sell stamps
for 58 times catalogue value in a major USA sale as per the
stamp shown nearby - they are another Manning group 100%
owned Auction!
Regular readers of this column know top
end stamps and collections are obtaining record prices right
now - often running into MANY millions a collection.
Banking a large chunk of each such sale is a perfect
business model, as the auction does not own the stock - just
acts as the 'middle man' in such sales.
Just four of these Manning Group
Auction houses in the USA sold goods worth $US15 million in
November 2005 alone. That is a lot of commission coming in
as gross profit.
Sold - 58 times catalogue!
Large firms like Stanley Gibbons and
Afinsa are pushing 'stamp investment' on a scale most
readers would not believe. All readers have heard of
Stanley Gibbons, but I bet few have heard of Afinsa.
Compare this Afinsa turnover to the
record year SG last reported, with pre-tax profit rising 42%
and annual sales of just £10 million. Afinsa has 2,400
sales representatives, 600 full-time employees, and 200
offices.
Afinsa is reportedly already holding
stamps insured for €1.2 billion (=$A1.93655 billion) in a
large safe for its investment clients. This is about 83
times more than Stanley Gibbons annual turnover.
A sobering thought. That figure is
close to the annual nett profit of massive banks like
Westpac Australia or Commonwealth Bank Of Australia.
I stress I am a stamp dealer, not an
investment adviser, and correctly predicting a stock to
double in price is past history, and might have just been
luck. The facts presented above are as accurate as I can
research them.
You should ALWAYS obtain expert
independent advice and do your own research if you plan to
buy any stocks and shares based on my comments - or indeed
from anyone who is not a licensed financial advisor.
One reader invested $50,000 in August
as he agreed with my prophesy, and the broad reasoning
behind it. He more than doubled his money (after all
brokerages) when he sold in January. He sent me a case of
very nice bubbly as a "thank you", so this de-facto
investment advisor role has its upside!
My trading philosophy has always been:
"you can't go broke making a profit" and as he
more than doubled his investment in a few months I
personally think he was very wise selling when he did. I
certainly would have.
Burraccoppin Fever!
I must stress up front this is a 100%
true story.
It might seem like a piece of pulp
fiction, but I guarantee you every word is true.
I received a phone call in January from
a reader who had seen my then current stamp column. In that
column I photographed a KGV 2d Orange with a Burracoppin
Western Australia that had an inverted watermark. It is
illustrated nearby.
Owner lost $3,000
A collector had asked me if I would buy
that stamp for $12,000. I had said "YES", did not argue
about the price, and lined up a firm sale for it, which took
quite a deal of time. The seller then got the brain flash
to send the stamp to auction where it did not do very well.
Bottom line - that genius ended up with
$3,000 LESS in his hand than he would have
received had he sold it to me for cash. And he received it
months later.
I missed out of course on my $1,000
commission on the sale, that would have prevailed had the
sale proceeded. So no-one was happy - except the
auctioneer, and even he may have tales of woe to tell us.
A weird story, and one I hope all
sellers of expensive stamps keep in mind. Auction is NOT
always the guaranteed way to get the highest price, or the
fastest price, as that story proves for all time.
Cancel caught his eye
Anyway, my reader had seen the
story, and what caught his eye was the photo of the 2d
orange stamp cancelled "Burracoppin". This is a TINY
little town located in the remote and dusty Nullarbor
Desert of Western Australia.
Burracoppin would process very
little mail in 2006, (if indeed it has a Post Office)
and presumably a darn sight less mail in 1922!
This reader collects postmarks, not
stamps, and remembered he had a couple of nice "Burracoppin"
strikes on 2d oranges in his postmark collection.
The reader is elderly - about 85 he
said, and I gathered his postmark collection had been
mounted up a half century or more ago.
Eureka!
He looks at the album, and sure
enough there are two 2d orange KGV stamps in there
with crisp "Burracoppin" strikes. Both in fact had
the exact same date stamp - April 5, 1922.
He peels them carefully off the
page. One is inverted watermark and the other is
not! The one I illustrated 2 months back was dated
March 1922, so clearly the inverted sheet was used
up on April 5, and a new sheet was started on.
Possibly they had more than one
sheet of inverts in the stamp drawer - who really
knows after 84 years?
As you can see in the photo the
orange shades are slightly different. (I apologise
for the overly dark colour of both - new scanner,
and new scanner operator!)
The owner phoned me and advised
he has this pair. I asked him what the appearance
and condition was like, and he says: "any
collector putting my copy next to the one
illustrated in your article would choose mine every
time - it is far superior looking". He was
correct.
A lovely pigeon pair - clean
and fresh with crisp steel cancels as you can see -
perfectly upright on the error stamp. The error
stamp on the right is beautifully centred given how
crummy the other ones I have seen look like!
A wonderful duo - probably no
other major Australian used rarity exists with a
same day town cancel with error AND
normal. ACSC says 4 copies of this invert
are recorded.
These 2 new 'Burracoppin'
discoveries in recent times takes that to at least
six. And I personally know of 2 others. This new
discovery is easily the finest looking copy from
those that I have seen.
Word Of Caution
And a word of caution.
This same stamp perforated "OS" is rather common
by comparison. Used examples are worth from $50
to $100. I had many calls from excited readers
thinking their "OS" copy might be worth $12,000!
I also get a lot of
"dreamer" calls after such things are reported.
One chap phoned and claimed he had "many". Is
anyone surprised to learn I never saw them after
he claimed he was mailing them Registered Post?
The Editor had a call late
January from someone claiming he too had a
"bunch" of 2d orange inverted watermarks with WA
postmarks he was mailing down.
I have always had a firm
policy on such things. Mail me the actual
stamps to view. Add $5 or $10 for their
Registered return, and I will THEN pass an
opinion. Scans, telephone calls and emails do
not allow me to examine the actual stamp!
My reader got a VERY large
cheque by return after we had discussed the
price he was prepared to accept. Several new
discoveries of any hitherto rare stamp lowers
the price of all known copies of course.
Nonetheless this 2d Orange
was indeed genuine, and it found a new home, and
at a 5 figure sum. The new owner and the
discoverer I am sure are both delighted to be
part of this wonderful story.
Every collector dreams of
discovering a major rarity among their
duplicates, and here is a recent example of it
occurring. It literally can happen to anyone,
and reading stamp magazine is the way to
discover these possible areas to look for!
They say the final word is
NEVER written in Philately and this is just
another perfect example.
As the 85 year old reader
said, after we had agreed on the price:
"That sum has paid for my 50 years of "Stamp
News" subscriptions, with a lot of dollars left
over. Had I not seen your article I would have
never realised I owned such a rare stamp."
Instant
Currency Conversion If you would like to be
notified of updates to this website,
Click
HERE.
Monthly "Stamp
News"
Market Tipster Column
Profits to Manning Group
In truth Stanley Gibbons are just small part time backyard
dealers when compared with Afinsa. This Spanish based firm
is easily the world's largest stamp dealer, with sales in
2003 reported to be approx 1 Billion Euros, making SG look
like a minnow.
Afinsa is the parent company of Auctentia, which as far as I
can work out still owns 69% of massive US auction and
collectible operator Greg Manning Auctions Inc, (now called
ESCALA) which itself is listed on the American NASDAQ stock
exchange.
Want to see (or
print out) this column
EXACTLY as it appears in 'Stamp News'?
If so click snmarch06.pdf
it may take around 30
seconds to load.
You will need the Adobe Reader program installed to view it.
Adobe Reader is a FREE application and may be downloaded safely from here.
v 7.0 is the latest release, get it now.
Get my regular market update emails FREE.
Stamp gossip, price trends, record sale prices, and many
one-time stamp specials, wholesale bargains, and exciting
offers and breaking philatelic news. A mini stamp magazine in
every email! "KNOWLEDGE IS
POWER". The
ONE stamp list you MUST
be on, to keep in touch with the rapidly
changing world market. One client made $65,000
profit in a few months after following my specific
advice. Sign up securely and quickly by clicking HERE
to access my automated data base. And wiser still ADD your home
AND work
email, if I only have one right now. Add a stamp
friend's email address if you wish. One short click and you
are subscribed to probably the most read email list in the stamp
world!
FREE!
Just click here...
see exactly what my lots cost in your currency.
or comments regarding my site, please email me at
glen@glenstephens.com
I am a Member Of
Full Time Stamp Dealer in Australia for over 25 years.
GLEN $TEPHEN$ Full Time Stamp Dealer in Australia for over 25 years.
Life Member - American Stamp
Dealers' Association. (New York)
Also Member - Philatelic Traders' Society. (London) ANDA. (Melbourne) American Philatelic Society, etc
"Lothlórien," No. 4 The
Tor Walk, CASTLECRAG (Sydney), N.S.W. 2068 |
Click here to see MANY 1000s of stamp lots for sale at low $A Nett prices
Click here for all you need to know re SELLING your stamps for SPOT CASH
Click here for the current Monthly "Internet Only" special offers - CHEAP!
to read all my recent International stamp magazine articles. Click here to get back to the main www.GlenStephens.com HomepageClick here to ORDER on-line ANY items from ANY of my dozens of lists
Click for all info on Conditions Of Sale, Payments, Shipping, Returns &c
Click here for the complete library of my very unusual world travels!
How to PAY me. I accept EVERYTHING - even blankets and axes and beads!
Australia Post Annual YEAR BOOKS - massive stock - '27% off' discount offer today!
Instant Currency Conversion
FREE! Just click
here...
E-mail me at glen@glenstephens.com -
Every credit card shown is
accepted WITHOUT fee.
Earn Frequent Flier points while buying at bargain prices!
ALL prices are in weak Ozzie Dollars. I charge NO nasty, nasty
"Buyer's Commission" on stamps like nearly every "Auction" does.